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How the Fed’s Dot Plot, Political Pressures, and Tariffs Shape Rate-Cut Expectations and Market Reactions
“The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every quarter the financial universe ponders the FOMC’s dot plot as though it were a ...
The Federal Reserve still sees just one rate cut in 2026, unchanged from its last forecast about three months ago. The central bank's so-called dot plot, which anonymously shows 19 individual members' ...
Bonds lost some ground after this morning's economic data, arguably in response to the Retail Sales control group beating its forecast. Higher-than-expected import prices could also have played a ...
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